In 2025, the sheet metal manufacturing industry is heavily influenced by trends in reshoring and automation, with local fabricators serving an international OEM client base. However, labor shortages, fluctuating raw material costs, and supply chain disruptions are important challenges to navigate. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of current sheet metal trends shaping this critical industry.

Employment in the Industry

As a whole, the sheet metal manufacturing industry faces high labor demand and offers various incentives for workers. However, changes in local demographics have led to a constrained labor supply.

  • Labor Shortage in the Fabrication Industry

    According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, “despite limited employment growth, about 209,800 openings for assemblers and fabricators are projected each year, on average, over the decade. Most of those openings are expected to result from the need to replace workers who transfer to different occupations or exit the labor force, such as to retire.” This highlights the need to encourage younger workers toward skilled trades and to develop and promote strong training programs.

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    Labor Shortage in the Fabrication Industry
  • Average Hourly Wages for Fabricators and Assemblers

    As of mid-2024, the mean hourly wage for US fabricators and assemblers was $21.38. The full range of hourly wages ranges from just over $16 to over $28, though different geographic regions and fabrication sub-specialties vary. Highly skilled master fabricators may earn more in some places.

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    Average Hourly Wages for Fabricators and Assemblers
  • Training and Educational Opportunities

    Most training and education for skilled trades happens at a local level through community colleges, technical and trade schools. Many high schools also offer career-based curricula to help students gain valuable skills that can be put to use as soon as they graduate, or get a head start in a trade program.
    Trade associations like the Fabricators and Manufacturers Association or the Precision Metalforming Association also offer beginner and continuing education events and resources. Some also facilitate on-the-job training programs at individual companies, which are excellent ways to ensure training includes state-of-the-art skills and industry best practices.

    Training and Educational Opportunities
  • Demographics: Skilled Trades Aging Workforce vs. New Entrants

    The Baby Boom generation (born from 1946-1964) makes up a large portion of the US population, and about 45% have already retired, though many continue to work past age 65 or 70. In fact, OECD research cited by McKinsey indicates, “between 1984 and 2027, the ratio of post-working-age individuals to working-age individuals is projected to rise by about 75 percent, from 2:10 to 3.5:10.” The bottom line is, there are fewer younger workers to fill in the jobs being vacated by the older generation. In the skilled trades, there are hundreds of thousands of job openings currently, many of which remain unfilled for long periods of time.

    Demographics: Skilled Trades Aging Workforce vs. New Entrants
  • The Impact of Reshoring and Automation on Labor Demand

    Ongoing global supply chain disruptions have led to a rising trend in reshoring. Many companies have been bringing manufacturing back to the United States to mitigate the effects of rising transportation costs, shipping delays, and other challenges. At the same time, local manufacturers are investing in automation technology, raising the skill levels required for many of these jobs.

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    The Impact of Reshoring and Automation on Labor Demand

Production Costs and Challenges

Across the US, inflation, supply chain disruptions, and economic uncertainty have an ongoing impact on sheet metal manufacturing.

Costs Vary by Locality

Different states and regions of the US and Canada have higher or lower industrial electricity rates, as well as a lower statewide average industrial land price. This has an impact on operating costs for fabricators as well as the pricing they can offer customers.

Inputs: Steel, Aluminum, Utilities, Freight, and Labor

Sheet metal fabrication profitability is largely dependent on five factors:

  • Steel prices.
  • Aluminum prices.
  • Utility costs.
  • Freight charges.
  • Labor expenses.

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The Effects of Inflation, Logistics Bottlenecks, and Supply Chain

The global supply chain has been experiencing significant disruptions since the COVID-19 pandemic, and these have continued due to volatile geopolitical events. These factors have not only resulted in cost increases for raw materials, but they have also caused bottlenecks, leading to frequent delays. At the same time, rising inflation increases the cost of everything from materials to utilities to labor, putting more pressure on manufacturers.

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The Impact of Facility Age and Capital Equipment Upgrades on Costs

A manufacturing facility’s age and condition directly impact its cost structure. Older sheet metal manufacturing facilities are typically less energy-efficient to operate and often require more maintenance than more modern ones. For manufacturers, investing in advanced fabrication tools, like CNC equipment and robotic welding systems, optimizes costs by improving material utilization, increasing throughput, and reducing skilled labor requirements.

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Dominant Manufacturing Sectors

An extensive range of industries make products and goods from sheet metal, including agriculture, oil and gas, transportation, and energy are key players driving demand.

The Strategic Benefits of Domestic Sheet Metal Fabrication

Choosing to operate in the US or Canada can be a smart move for sheet metal fabricators, and the OEMs who count on them.

Proximity to Key OEMs in Agriculture, Oil and Gas, and Freight

Fabricators are smart to locate facilities near major OEMs, or target the ability to set up secondary operations in these regions. This provides access to a concentrated customer base with less complicated logistics.

Proximity to Key OEMs in Agriculture, Oil and Gas, and Freight

Infrastructure: Rail Connectivity, Interstate Access, and Logistics

Location can be critical to a fabricator’s long-term success and growth. Choosing a location that’s close to major highway and rail trade routes, or ports in some areas, means faster turnaround times, alternative route options for contingency planning, faster receipt of raw materials, and swift shipping of finished goods. All of these can improve operating costs and prices for customers. Reliable logistics are often as critical as a fabricator’s capabilities and quality control.

Infrastructure: Rail Connectivity, Interstate Access, and Logistics

Access to Skilled Labor Through Vocational Training Partners

While some people are willing to relocate for work, many more hope to find a career closer to home. Fabricators located in proximity to community and local colleges, trade schools, and high schools with large trade programs have an advantage when it comes to finding and attracting younger workers.

Access to Skilled Labor Through Vocational Training Partners

Strong Alignment With Buy America and ITB-Compliant Production

The Build America, Buy America Act (BABA) requires federally funded infrastructure programs to prioritize American materials and be manufactured in the US, with at least 55% of the cost coming from American-made components. This encourages US businesses to invest in sheet metal fabrication and manufacturing technology and training to support government projects. In northern regions of the US, some fabricators may even be able to offer services that comply with Canada’s Industrial and Technological Benefits (ITB) policy.

Strong Alignment With Buy America and ITB-Compliant Production

Risks and Barriers to Growth

Despite the growing demand for sheet metal fabrication operations, there are several risks currently facing the industry.

Skilled Labor Shortage and Recruitment Challenges

Manufacturing and skilled trades are experiencing a scarcity of available workers, and that includes sheet metal fabricators. Training and vocational programs and on-the-job training opportunities must expand to meet the demand. Likewise, the manufacturing industry needs to continue efforts to rebrand itself away from the traditional “dull, dirty, and dangerous” job stereotype in favor of a future-proof, technology-driven career image.

Volatility in Raw Material Costs

The raw materials used in sheet metal fabrication fluctuate dramatically in cost. This poses a significant risk to manufacturers and makes it difficult to project long-term profitability.

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CapEx Needs for Modernizing Older Facilities

Modern trends in sheet metal fabrication have made it essential to invest in automation technology. However, many businesses find it challenging to generate the funds necessary to acquire this equipment and modernize their facilities.

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Competition From Lower-Cost Regions and Nearshoring to Mexico

Due to its significantly lower labor costs, many OEMs find it more advantageous to partner with manufacturers in Mexico. US- and Canada-based fabricators must remain competitive to avoid losing their customer base.

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What the Future Looks Like for Manufacturers

The future of the sheet metal manufacturing industry largely depends on how well businesses navigate workforce challenges, changing costs, supply chain uncertainty, and investment opportunities in automation. Local sheet metal fabricators that have modernized their operations will be able to take advantage of reshoring trends and the state’s advantageous position near Canadian and American OEMs.

In this essential economic sector, Champ Metal Fabrication stands out as a trusted leader. With facilities in both North Dakota and Manitoba, Canada, Champ brings extensive sheet metal fabrication capabilities to North American OEMs. Learn more about our solutions by requesting a quote today.